Quality Attribute · Quality attribute
Mould Incidence
Also known as: Mould infection rate, Visible mould count
Mould incidence is the proportion of kernels or units in a sample showing visible mould infection or growth. It is a food- and feed-safety surveillance signal, not a mycotoxin result: visible mould does not confirm toxin, and clean-looking grain is not confirmed toxin-free.
Mould incidence records the proportion of kernels or units in a drawn sample that show visible mould infection or surface growth, typically assessed by direct visual inspection under standard conditions. It is a straightforward, fast, low-cost signal used at intake, during storage monitoring, and at delivery to flag lots that warrant closer attention.
The single most important fact about mould incidence is what it is not: it is not a mycotoxin measurement, and the relationship between the two runs unreliably in both directions. Many fungi that produce visible growth on stored grain are not toxin producers at all, and even a toxigenic species produces toxin only under some conditions, so visible mould does not confirm contamination. Far more consequentially, the absence of visible mould does not confirm the absence of mycotoxin — the toxin itself is invisible, tasteless, heat-stable in many cases, and can remain in the commodity long after the fungus that made it has died, been removed, or been cleaned away.
What mould incidence measures
Mould incidence is assessed by drawing a representative sample from the lot and examining it, usually visually, for kernels or units showing infection or surface fungal growth. The result is reported as a proportion — by count, by mass, or as colony-forming units per gram where a microbiological plate count is used instead of a purely visual assessment. Because it is fast and does not require a laboratory, it is used widely as a first-line screening signal at intake and during storage inspection.
As a screening signal, mould incidence is useful for flagging lots for closer attention, for tracking trends in a store over time, and for triggering aeration or turning decisions. It is not, by itself, a determination of whether the lot meets any food- or feed-safety requirement.
Mould incidence is not a mycotoxin measurement
The relationship between visible mould and mycotoxin contamination is asymmetric and counterintuitive. On one side, a lot can show substantial visible mould growth from species that never produce toxin, or from a toxigenic species under conditions that did not favour toxin formation — visible mould, on its own, does not establish contamination. On the other, far more consequential side, a lot with no visible mould at all can already carry mycotoxin: the toxin can have been produced earlier by a fungus that has since died, can be distributed unevenly through the lot away from any visibly affected kernel, and survives cleaning, sorting, and in many cases processing.
Temperature monitoring as a surveillance proxy
Temperature probes are used alongside visual inspection to monitor stored lots because active fungal and insect metabolism generates heat, and a rising temperature near a sensor can flag a developing hot spot before it becomes visible at the surface. This makes temperature monitoring a useful, low-cost, continuous surveillance tool.
It is, however, only a proxy, and a limited one. A stable reading at the sensor is not evidence that the lot is free of mould or insects — activity elsewhere in the bulk may not yet have reached the probe, or the sensor spacing may be too coarse to detect a localised pocket. Cooling a lot that has already self-heated slows further biological activity, but it does not remove any mycotoxin that has already formed; a temperature record is a monitoring tool for storage conditions, not a safety clearance.
Why laboratory testing is a different question
Mycotoxin contamination in a bulk lot is characteristically heterogeneous: a small number of badly contaminated kernels, clustered rather than evenly spread through an otherwise clean lot, can be responsible for the entire result. This makes sampling, not analytical precision, the dominant source of error in any toxin determination — a poorly drawn sample can produce a result that misrepresents the lot in either direction, regardless of how accurate the laboratory method used on that sample is.
Establishing whether a lot exceeds an applicable mycotoxin limit therefore requires both a properly designed sampling protocol and a validated laboratory method, applied together. This entry does not state any toxin limit; the applicable food or feed safety regulation sets maximum levels for the specific commodity, toxin, and jurisdiction.
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Scope & limitations
Geographic scope: Global. Mould incidence is assessed by visual inspection of a drawn sample anywhere; applicable mycotoxin limits are commodity- and jurisdiction-specific and are set by food or feed safety regulation, not by this attribute.
- This entry states no mycotoxin limits or thresholds. The applicable food or feed safety regulation sets maximum levels for the specific commodity, toxin, and jurisdiction.
- Visible mould presence or absence does not establish mycotoxin presence or absence in either direction; only laboratory analysis on a properly drawn sample can do that.
- Because contamination is highly heterogeneous within a lot, sampling error typically dominates the result more than any error in the visual or analytical method used.
- A temperature-probe reading is a surveillance proxy for biological heat, not a direct or reliable measurement of mould or insect presence, and cooling a lot does not remove any mycotoxin already formed.
Sources
This article draws on the following authoritative sources. See our sources & methodology for how they are selected.
- Authoritative
Cited for: Mycotoxin risk assessment and the distinction between visible mould and toxin contamination
- Type:
- Government agency
- Jurisdiction:
- European Union
- Accessed:
- 2026-07-12
- [2]FAO — Food and Agriculture Organization (opens in a new tab)Authoritative
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)
Cited for: Mould incidence assessment and mycotoxin prevention in stored commodities
- Type:
- Intergovernmental organization
- Jurisdiction:
- Global
- Accessed:
- 2026-07-12
- [3]USDA ARS — Agricultural Research Service (opens in a new tab)Authoritative
USDA Agricultural Research Service (ARS)
Cited for: Storage fungi behaviour and stored-grain mould research
- Type:
- Government agency
- Jurisdiction:
- United States
- Accessed:
- 2026-07-12
- [4]CABI Digital Library — Crop Protection Compendium (opens in a new tab)High
CABI (Centre for Agriculture and Bioscience International)
Cited for: Storage mould identification and stored-product pest and disease context
- Type:
- Reference database
- Jurisdiction:
- Global
- Accessed:
- 2026-07-12
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- Port of Entry Inspection
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