Market brief
What USDA forecasts it will cost to grow nine US field crops in 2026
Rice at $1,411 an acre, wheat at $419 — and why none of these is a margin
- Forecast
The USDA Economic Research Service forecasts total listed costs of $935.79 per planted acre for maize in 2026 and $419.41 for wheat. The dataset carries no revenue, so no margin can be computed from it — and AgricultureID publishes none.
Key points
- Every figure is marked F by the source. These are forecasts for a year that has not finished.
- Figures are national averages per planted acre, not figures for any state, region or farm.
- The totals are ERS's own; nothing here is summed from the cost items.
The USDA Economic Research Service publishes what it expects it will cost to grow a crop, per planted acre, for the United States as a whole. AgricultureID captured the current release on 27 August 2026. Here is what it says for 2026.
| Crop | Total costs listed | Operating costs |
|---|---|---|
| Rice | $1,411.44 | $838.30 |
| Groundnut | $1,223.94 | $666.95 |
| Cotton | $974.12 | $583.82 |
| Maize | $935.79 | $473.03 |
| Soybean | $683.89 | $257.43 |
| Barley | $526.92 | $206.19 |
| Oats | $523.03 | $186.85 |
| Sorghum | $466.20 | $190.93 |
| Wheat | $419.41 | $169.08 |
All figures in US dollars per planted acre, as published.
Three things these numbers are not
They are not what anyone spent. ERS marks the years 2026F and 2027F. The F is the whole of what separates this dataset from an accounting of actual farm expenditure. A season that has not finished cannot be accounted for.
They are not about anywhere in particular. The region on every row is "U.S. total". ERS publishes regional breakdowns separately. A national average across a crop grown from the Mississippi Delta to the northern Plains is a real statistic about a real population of farms and is not a statistic about any of them.
They are not a margin. This is the one worth being blunt about. The dataset contains costs and no revenue. Divide total cost by an assumed yield and multiply by an assumed price and you have a break-even figure — but the yield and the price are yours, not USDA's, and the resulting number is a scenario wearing a statistic's clothes.
AgricultureID holds 24,916 farm economics figures and publishes no gross margin, no net return and no break-even price, for exactly this reason. Those three are recorded in the platform as absent, each with the reason it is absent.
Reading the split
The gap between total costs and operating costs is the allocated overhead: capital recovery of machinery and equipment, the opportunity cost of land, the opportunity cost of unpaid labour, taxes, insurance and general farm overhead.
For wheat, operating costs are 40% of the total. For rice they are 59%. That difference is not a statement about efficiency — it reflects how much of each crop's cost structure ERS allocates to land and machinery rather than to inputs bought within the season.
Note also that the totals here are ERS's own. AgricultureID does not add the cost items up to produce one, because the source decides what belongs in a total and an independently computed total would disagree with it for definitional reasons that would read as a data error.
Geographies: United States
Sources
[1]Commodity Costs and Returns — cost-of-production forecasts
United States Department of Agriculture — Economic Research Service
Cited for: Forecast total, operating and allocated overhead costs per planted acre for nine field crops, 2026 and 2027.
statistics agency · read 2026-08-27
In the AgricultureID knowledge base
The canonical structured record for each of these lives on the main platform. This publication adds context; it does not replace them.
About the author
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